Track record
Every alert from the strategies we offer today, scored — wins and losses.
66 closed signals since Jul 20, 2026. This page is written by the same system that sends the alerts: when a SELL email goes out, the signal is added here at the same moment, with the exact prices in the emails. Nothing is edited after the fact. It shows the strategies we offer today and the earlier versions they replaced; a strategy we stop offering is taken off with it, and a rule still on trial with a small group is held back until it either ships or is dropped, so the numbers above stay one continuous, comparable series.
Test it yourself
Type a ticker to see every buy and sell result on it. When a strategy has live alerts on the stock, you see those, at the prices we emailed. When it doesn't yet, you see the trades from the 25-year backtest instead, clearly labelled.
Swing TradePro
BUY alert at the market open on a short-term dip in a strong uptrend that is also outperforming the S&P 500 (a second ADD alert only if it dips 3% more); SELL alert the moment it pops. Since October 2026 it skips dips right after an earnings report, a trade still open after 20 trading days sells at break-even, and (from 18 October) a position that closes 13% below cost sells on its bounce back to 10% below. P&L is measured from the price in the BUY alert — the average cost after an add — to the SELL alert price. Alerts before 6 November 2026 went out after the close and are measured from the next morning’s open.
First signal closed Jul 22, 2026
76%
Live win rate
35 of 46 signals, really sent
+1.63%
Avg gain per signal
live, all signals — wins and losses
+4.4% / -7.3%
Avg win / avg loss
best +11.4%, worst -16.5%
10 days
Avg hold
trading days, alert to alert
These numbers include 31 signals sent under earlier versions of this strategy (24W / 7L, +2.81% avg), each tagged below with the version that traded it. Under today's version: 11 of 15 won, -0.81% avg.
All 46 closed signals — newest first
| Stock | Buy alert | Entry | Sell alert | Exit | Days | Result | Version |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DELL | Oct 30, 2026 | $414.74 | Nov 11, 2026 | $373.33 | 8 | -9.98% | Swing Trade v2 |
| XOM | Nov 10, 2026 | $161.86 | Nov 11, 2026 | $165.92 | 2 | +2.51% | Swing Trade v2 |
| FCX | Oct 20, 2026 | $67.70 | Nov 9, 2026 | $61.87 | 14 | -8.61% | Swing Trade v2 |
| MPC | Oct 29, 2026 | $435.00 | Nov 2, 2026 | $445.27 | 2 | +2.36% | Swing Trade v2 |
| EXPE | Oct 28, 2026 | $277.38 | Oct 30, 2026 | $283.35 | 2 | +2.15% | Swing Trade v2 |
| MCK | Oct 28, 2026 | $975.00 | Oct 30, 2026 | $1002.55 | 2 | +2.83% | Swing Trade v2 |
| DG | Oct 27, 2026 | $126.17 | Oct 29, 2026 | $128.75 | 2 | +2.04% | Swing Trade v2 |
| STX | Oct 6, 2026 | $764.35 | Oct 29, 2026 | $707.14 | 17 | -7.49% | Swing Trade v2 |
| SNDK | Oct 9, 2026 | $1509.03 | Oct 28, 2026 | $1405.53 | 13 | -6.86% | Swing Trade v2 |
| APH | Oct 15, 2026 | $81.79 | Oct 28, 2026 | $82.27 | 9 | +0.59% | Swing Trade v2 |
| ANET | Oct 15, 2026 | $180.83 | Oct 27, 2026 | $182.26 | 8 | +0.79% | Swing Trade v2 |
| SLB | Sep 10, 2026 | $56.57 | Oct 20, 2026 | $50.05 | 28 | -11.53% | Earlier version (Double 7 Guarded) |
| INCY | Oct 5, 2026 | $112.98 | Oct 15, 2026 | $114.86 | 8 | +1.66% | Swing Trade v2 |
| WELL | Oct 1, 2026 | $226.87 | Oct 14, 2026 | $230.36 | 9 | +1.54% | Swing Trade v2 |
| FCX | Sep 2, 2026 | $75.34 | Oct 9, 2026 | $73.20 | 25 | -2.84% | Earlier version (Double 7 Guarded) |
| FANG | Sep 18, 2026 | $189.88 | Oct 8, 2026 | $189.83 | 15 | -0.03% | Earlier version (Double 7 Guarded) |
| IBKR | Sep 28, 2026 | $87.86 | Oct 6, 2026 | $89.81 | 6 | +2.22% | Swing Trade v2 |
| NUE | Sep 18, 2026 | $248.39 | Oct 5, 2026 | $250.00 | 12 | +0.65% | Earlier version (Double 7 Guarded) |
| ODFL | Jul 31, 2026 | $213.14 | Sep 30, 2026 | $177.90 | 43 | -16.53% | Earlier version (Double 7 Guarded) |
| VLO | Sep 23, 2026 | $379.06 | Sep 28, 2026 | $387.18 | 3 | +2.14% | Swing Trade v2 |
| DVN | Sep 21, 2026 | $46.80 | Sep 23, 2026 | $48.28 | 2 | +3.17% | Earlier version (Double 7 Guarded) |
| SPG | Aug 5, 2026 | $226.61 | Sep 23, 2026 | $205.95 | 34 | -9.12% | Earlier version (Double 7 Guarded) |
| URI | Sep 3, 2026 | $988.54 | Sep 21, 2026 | $1028.29 | 11 | +4.02% | Earlier version (Double 7 Guarded) |
| KMI | Sep 4, 2026 | $31.44 | Sep 18, 2026 | $32.08 | 9 | +2.02% | Earlier version (Double 7 Guarded) |
| FDS | Sep 14, 2026 | $256.45 | Sep 18, 2026 | $284.54 | 3 | +10.95% | Earlier version (Double 7 Guarded) |
| ANET | Aug 20, 2026 | $183.77 | Sep 14, 2026 | $199.59 | 16 | +8.61% | Earlier version (Double 7 Guarded) |
| DVN | Aug 26, 2026 | $46.67 | Sep 10, 2026 | $50.02 | 10 | +7.18% | Earlier version (Double 7 Guarded) |
| VRT | Aug 25, 2026 | $256.61 | Sep 4, 2026 | $280.53 | 7 | +9.32% | Earlier version (Double 7 Guarded) |
| NUE | Aug 20, 2026 | $244.89 | Sep 3, 2026 | $263.97 | 10 | +7.79% | Earlier version (Double 7 Guarded) |
| APH | Aug 21, 2026 | $77.50 | Sep 2, 2026 | $81.59 | 9 | +5.28% | Earlier version (Double 7 Guarded) |
| LIN | Jul 20, 2026 | $513.22 | Aug 26, 2026 | $490.33 | 27 | -4.46% | Earlier version (Double 7 Guarded) |
| CTAS | Aug 5, 2026 | $202.86 | Aug 25, 2026 | $207.40 | 14 | +2.24% | Earlier version (Double 7 Guarded) |
| FCX | Aug 17, 2026 | $67.08 | Aug 21, 2026 | $71.22 | 3 | +6.17% | Earlier version (Double 7 Guarded) |
| WELL | Aug 3, 2026 | $230.31 | Aug 20, 2026 | $237.34 | 13 | +3.05% | Earlier version (Double 7 Guarded) |
| CTVA | Aug 3, 2026 | $78.37 | Aug 20, 2026 | $79.46 | 13 | +1.39% | Earlier version (Double 7 Guarded) |
| TRGP | Aug 7, 2026 | $258.73 | Aug 14, 2026 | $275.79 | 5 | +6.59% | Earlier version (Double 7 Guarded) |
| META | Jul 22, 2026 | $608.41 | Aug 7, 2026 | $592.10 | 11 | -2.68% | Earlier version (7-day exit) |
| AMD | Jul 27, 2026 | $467.00 | Aug 5, 2026 | $518.58 | 7 | +11.04% | Earlier version (7-day exit) |
| MS | Jul 20, 2026 | $215.50 | Aug 5, 2026 | $217.04 | 12 | +0.71% | Earlier version (7-day exit) |
| AMZN | Jul 23, 2026 | $244.85 | Aug 3, 2026 | $271.58 | 7 | +10.92% | Earlier version (7-day exit) |
| GOOGL | Jul 20, 2026 | $346.77 | Aug 3, 2026 | $356.13 | 10 | +2.70% | Earlier version (7-day exit) |
| SBUX | Jul 23, 2026 | $103.98 | Jul 31, 2026 | $105.85 | 5 | +1.80% | Earlier version (7-day exit) |
| KO | Jul 20, 2026 | $81.56 | Jul 27, 2026 | $84.07 | 5 | +3.08% | Earlier version (7-day exit) |
| AVGO | Jul 20, 2026 | $370.83 | Jul 23, 2026 | $396.81 | 3 | +7.01% | Earlier version (7-day exit) |
| AMD | Jul 20, 2026 | $495.76 | Jul 23, 2026 | $552.33 | 3 | +11.41% | Earlier version (7-day exit) |
| FCX | Jul 20, 2026 | $58.38 | Jul 22, 2026 | $62.56 | 2 | +7.16% | Earlier version (7-day exit) |
Swing ElitePremium
The Swing Trade setup, but the day’s candidates are ranked against an 11-day high instead of a 7-day one, and a position that has gone 20 trading days without getting back above its cost gives up its place to a better-ranked new signal; since October 2026 its ADD alert waits for a 3.5% dip, and (from 18 October) a position that closes 13% below cost sells on its bounce back to 11% below. Same kind of BUY/ADD/SELL alerts; P&L is measured from the price in the BUY alert — the average cost after an add — to the SELL alert price. Alerts before 6 November 2026 went out after the close and are measured from the next morning’s open.
First signal closed Oct 7, 2026
75%
Live win rate
15 of 20 signals, really sent
-1.34%
Avg gain per signal
live, all signals — wins and losses
+2.3% / -12.2%
Avg win / avg loss
best +7.3%, worst -20.7%
7 days
Avg hold
trading days, alert to alert
20 closed signals are a small sample — a few trades either way still move these numbers noticeably. The 25-year backtest below is the better guide to what to expect long-term.
All 20 closed signals — newest first
| Stock | Buy alert | Entry | Sell alert | Exit | Days | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DELL | Oct 30, 2026 | $406.06 | Nov 11, 2026 | $364.92 | 8 | -10.13% |
| XOM | Nov 10, 2026 | $161.86 | Nov 11, 2026 | $165.92 | 2 | +2.51% |
| CVX | Nov 10, 2026 | $208.07 | Nov 11, 2026 | $212.43 | 2 | +2.10% |
| KLAC | Oct 9, 2026 | $190.90 | Nov 9, 2026 | $151.38 | 21 | -20.70% |
| MPC | Oct 27, 2026 | $428.97 | Nov 9, 2026 | $385.47 | 9 | -10.14% |
| MPWR | Oct 12, 2026 | $1294.29 | Nov 2, 2026 | $1296.35 | 15 | +0.16% |
| EXPE | Oct 28, 2026 | $277.38 | Oct 30, 2026 | $283.35 | 2 | +2.15% |
| DG | Oct 28, 2026 | $127.32 | Oct 30, 2026 | $132.31 | 2 | +3.92% |
| PSX | Oct 27, 2026 | $270.53 | Oct 29, 2026 | $275.97 | 2 | +2.01% |
| SNDK | Oct 5, 2026 | $1664.72 | Oct 28, 2026 | $1405.53 | 17 | -15.57% |
| APH | Oct 15, 2026 | $81.79 | Oct 28, 2026 | $82.27 | 9 | +0.59% |
| ANET | Oct 14, 2026 | $187.86 | Oct 27, 2026 | $188.84 | 9 | +0.52% |
| WDC | Oct 7, 2026 | $399.31 | Oct 27, 2026 | $381.42 | 14 | -4.48% |
| INCY | Oct 5, 2026 | $112.98 | Oct 15, 2026 | $114.73 | 8 | +1.55% |
| STX | Oct 12, 2026 | $693.93 | Oct 14, 2026 | $744.76 | 2 | +7.33% |
| PH | Oct 7, 2026 | $946.83 | Oct 12, 2026 | $965.90 | 3 | +2.01% |
| WELL | Oct 5, 2026 | $223.94 | Oct 12, 2026 | $228.42 | 5 | +2.00% |
| EXPE | Oct 5, 2026 | $261.60 | Oct 9, 2026 | $270.13 | 3 | +3.26% |
| MRK | Oct 5, 2026 | $140.13 | Oct 7, 2026 | $143.10 | 2 | +2.12% |
| JNJ | Oct 5, 2026 | $254.15 | Oct 7, 2026 | $259.27 | 2 | +2.01% |
The 25-year backtest
The live record above is a few months old. Both strategies were also run through 25 years of daily history — including every major crash since 2001 — before going live. These are the backtested figures, clearly labelled as such:
Swing Elite · PremiumRecommended
Higher
37%
Return a year
Smaller
20%
Worst drop
85%
Win rate
6,000+ trades
Swing Trade · Pro
31%
Return a year
21%
Worst drop
86%
Win rate
6,000+ trades
Backtested 2001 – 2026. Worst drop = largest fall from a high, open positions marked daily.
How to read these numbers
Picckles is a publisher of trading signals, not an investment adviser, and nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Results shown are the signal prices in the BUY and SELL emails, not actual trades: they do not include commissions, slippage, or the difference between the alert price and the price you actually get at your broker, which can be material. Your results will differ. Backtested results are hypothetical, computed on historical data with the benefit of hindsight, and do not reflect real trading. Past performance — live or backtested — does not guarantee future results, and every trade carries real risk of loss, including the loss of your entire position.
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